Opening the evidence
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Individual trading profits are private financial data. While market volatility for AMC, GameStop, and Tesla during the pandemic is a documented historical event, the speaker's personal financial gain cannot be verified without access to their private brokerage statements.
Phones and apps do collect huge amounts of data about you, which is why ads can feel eerily well timed. But researchers at Northeastern University tested more than 17,000 Android apps and found no app that turned on the microphone or sent out audio without being prompted. A 2024 ad pitch deck claiming 'active listening' got wide coverage, but nobody has shown that phones routinely record conversations to pick ads.
Joe was right that Pride did not run 15 minutes straight and that its first round was 10 minutes. But a standard Pride fight had three rounds, a 10-minute first round followed by two 5-minute rounds, for 20 minutes in total. The 10-then-5 format he described was only used at Pride's Bushido events and on Grand Prix nights when fighters had to fight twice.
BPC-157 has promising results in animal studies of tendon, ligament and muscle healing, but that has not been shown in people. A 2025 systematic review found 35 animal or lab studies and only one clinical study. The American Orthopaedic Society for Sports Medicine says there is no high-quality clinical evidence in humans, and the drug is not FDA approved. Calling it effective, or the best option for soft tissue injuries, goes beyond the evidence.
Whether an individual drove themselves to physical therapy two days post-surgery depends on specific medical clearance, the type of procedure, and the involved limb. This is a personal medical anecdote that cannot be confirmed without specific details about the speaker's identity and medical records.
No supervolcano eruption on record has killed anything close to 80% of the people on Earth. The Toba supereruption about 74,000 years ago was long blamed for nearly wiping out humanity, but the US Geological Survey says archaeological evidence shows people did not suffer greatly from it. The USGS says a Yellowstone supereruption would cause serious national and global harm but would not end the human race.
It is true that a large share of Israeli Jews have Eastern European roots, so the first half holds up. But in a large Israeli survey about 45% of Jews identified as Mizrahi or Sephardi, with families from the Middle East and North Africa, and most Israeli Jews today were born in Israel. The idea that Ashkenazi Jews are not from the region also leaves out genetic studies that find their ancestry is roughly an even mix of Middle Eastern, largely Levantine, and European.
DHS did advertise a signing bonus of up to $50,000 to recruit new ICE officers, alongside student loan repayment, and reports say some recruits were dismissed after vetting problems. But $50,000 is the maximum, not what every hire gets. The bonus also comes with a service commitment and conditions, so "you get $50,000 when you sign up" makes it sound simpler and more guaranteed than it is.
The tests he is likely thinking of did find glyphosate in nearly every wine they tested. A 2016 Moms Across America test found it in all 10 California wines, and a 2019 U.S. PIRG test found it in 19 of 20 beers and wines, including Sutter Home, Beringer and Barefoot. But these were small advocacy-group samples, not a representative survey of California wine, and the amounts were in parts per billion, far below EPA and California safety limits, which the framing leaves out.
The main study behind this, Gordji-Nejad and colleagues in Scientific Reports (2024), gave 15 young adults one very large dose of creatine, about 25 grams, during a night without sleep. It improved memory and processing speed compared with a placebo. The authors say it only partly reversed the decline from lost sleep and did not restore normal performance, and they warned against taking such high doses at home. It helped, but it did not erase the effects.
Not a checkable claim: the speaker gives his personal prediction that within five years AI will be self-aware and independent enough to control everything and stop listening to people. He follows it with 'what if' worries about China and the power grid. A prediction about the future like this can't be confirmed or disproven with today's evidence. This call would be wrong if the transcript showed the speaker saying AI has already reached that level, rather than guessing it will.
This claim pertains to a private conversation regarding a potential fight arrangement. Verification would require access to personal communications or official statements from the parties involved, which are not currently accessible.
The Stalin half holds up. In the 1939 to 1940 Winter War, Finland kept its independence against a much larger Soviet invasion, though it gave up territory. The Nazi half is misleading. From 1941 to 1944 Finland fought alongside Germany against the Soviet Union and only turned on German troops in the 1944 to 1945 Lapland War, as its armistice with the Soviets required.
The basic story is real: the Buddhafield group from the documentary Holy Hell left the Los Angeles area for Austin, where its followers later built what became the One World Theatre. But the timing does not work. The group relocated to Austin in 1992, and the Waco siege happened in 1993, so a crackdown that followed Waco could not have driven the move. The speaker was also unsure when Waco happened.
The released Epstein files show the sulfuric acid was delivered to Little St. James on December 6, 2018, with the paperwork saying it was for the island's reverse osmosis water plant. That was seven months before his July 2019 federal indictment. He had been charged in Florida in 2006, but that case had ended a decade earlier, so the idea that he ordered it after being indicted does not fit the record.
Rogan hedged with "I think", and $5,000 is about right for a used or older Speedmaster. A new current Speedmaster Moonwatch Professional is much more. Omega's US site lists the steel models at roughly $7,400 to $9,100, and newer variants go higher. So "typically $5,000" understates the usual price for a new one, though it is close for pre-owned. An Omega US price list showing core new Speedmaster models at about $5,000 would flip this verdict.
Joe guessed that Rosemary's Baby was from the 70s. It was filmed in late 1967 and premiered in June 1968, so it is a late 1960s film.
Comedian Kenny DeForest did die after a bike crash in Brooklyn in December 2023. Early reports called it a hit-and-run, but later reporting found he was riding an e-bike and struck an unoccupied parked car, with no other vehicle involved, so he was not hit by anyone. The reports we found do not say whether he was wearing a helmet.
The numbers are mixed up. Puzo's advance from Putnam for The Godfather was $5,000. The roughly $400,000 figure was the $410,000 record sale of the paperback rights, which was not an advance. Puzo did overspend his small advance on a family trip to Europe, and the paperback sale is what ended his money problems.
Not a checkable claim: in a conversation about comedians stealing jokes, the speaker gave a personal opinion that people who steal material have the opposite mindset from people who create. It's a view about creative character and work ethic, not a factual statement that data or records could prove or disprove. This would only become checkable if the speaker had cited a specific study or statistic about joke thieves and creativity.
Flagged claims only. “Unverified” means unresolved, not false. Topic labels help browsing and are not evidence.